Once Canada's most popular premier, Quebec's Legault trails in polls after bad year
For more than four years, Quebec's governing Coalition Avenir Quebec enjoyed a political honeymoon that lasted through the COVID-19 pandemic and helped the party get re-elected in 2022 with 90 of the province's 125 ridings.
But after a year marked by a series of self-inflicted wounds, the CAQ, which came to power for the first time in 2018, is sinking in the polls.
"This was a horrible year for the CAQ and, especially, for (Premier) François Legault," said Daniel Béland, director of the McGill Institute for the Study of Canada.
The most recent Leger poll, in early December, indicates that support for the party dropped 16 percentage points since December 2022, with the Parti Québécois -- with four members in the legislature -- now in first place.
"That's a dramatic drop in terms of public support," Béland said in an interview Thursday, adding that the personal popularity of Legault, whose image is deeply intertwined with the party he founded, has "plummeted."
A recent Angus Reid poll ranked Legault as the country's least popular premier.
The CAQ's annus horribilis may have begun last winter when Quebecers were unable to receive services from the province's automobile insurance board -- which issues driver's licences and registers vehicles -- for several weeks due to problems with a new digital platform.
Digital Minister Éric Caire, who was responsible for some elements of the transition, initially asked why he wasn't receiving praise for his part in the project. Shortly after, he described what happened at the insurance board as a "fiasco."
People lineup at an SAAQ outlet in Laval, Monday, March 6, 2023. Multiple flaws in an upgrade of the Quebec motor vehicle agency’s website has resulted in lengthy delays for licence renewals, registrations and vehicle sales. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ryan Remiorz
Transport Minister Geneviève Guilbault was soon the face of another crisis.
In April, she was sent out alone to announce that the government would not build a car tunnel under the St. Lawrence River between Quebec City and its suburbs.
Quebec Transport Minister Genevieve Guilbault, left, carries binders as she walks to a news conference to announce they will not build a third link for cars between Levis and Quebec City, Thursday, April 20, 2023 at the legislature in Quebec City. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jacques Boissinot
The tunnel -- known as the third link -- had been one of the party's key election promises in 2022 and championed by Legault for years for the capital region.
That flip-flop came out of nowhere, Béland said, and led to open dissatisfaction in the CAQ caucus, with Education Minister Bernard Drainville weeping in public.
"I think this was the turning point," Béland said.
In late October, the CAQ lost a Quebec City riding to the PQ in a byelection. The next day, Legault promised to bring back the third link for cars.
The premier would later joke about his changing position on the project, telling the legislature during a Christmas message that he had asked Santa for a compass.
Looking to reconnect with the electorate -- particularly in the Quebec City area -- the government announced in November that the Los Angeles Kings NHL team would play two pre-season games in Quebec City -- with up to $7 million in government funding.
Quebec Finance Minister Eric Girard speaks at a news conference, Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2023 at the Videotron Centre in Quebec City as Luc Robitaille, president of the Los Angeles Kings, left, looks on. Quebec Premier François Legault is defending his government's decision to spend up to $7 million to bring the Kings to Quebec City for two NHL pre-season games next year. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jacques Boissinot
The subsidy to the NHL was announced one week after an economic update that gave the province's food banks $8 million less than they had asked for and forecast that public finances would be "tight" over the next few months.
The byelection loss "created a sense of panic among the CAQ government and they took measures, like the subsidy to the L.A. Kings, that made them even less popular," Béland said.
Promising millions of dollars to the Kings also handed ammunition to public sector unions, whose members were either in the midst of a series of temporary strikes, or days away from a general walkout. It was not the only move that caused conflict with workers renegotiating their contracts.
In June, the legislature adopted a government bill that increased members' salaries immediately by 30 per cent, to $131,766.
A Léger poll commissioned by opposition party Quebec solidaire suggested that three out of four Quebecers opposed the increase, but Legault defended the raise, saying elected officials have the right to make "as much money as possible" for their children.
Government workers, such as teachers and nurses, had been offered an increase of around 13 per cent over five years.
"Overall, there is a general dissatisfaction toward François Legault and the CAQ government, so it's not just, I think, one of these events, or these issues, it's the accumulation of things over time," Béland said.
With the province's next election almost three years away, a lot can change, Béland said, but Legault's image of being in touch with Quebecers -- at least francophones -- has been shattered.
"It's not a lost cause, in the sense that they can probably regain some of the support they've lost, but the aura of invincibility that they had until recently is gone."
Legault told reporters earlier in December that 2023 was not "politically easy" because there were "a lot of controversies," but he said he has no plans to quit or shuffle his cabinet.
"I think that, at the end of the day, when we've delivered services, I'm confident I'll get (the public's) trust back," he said.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Dec. 29, 2023.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
DEVELOPING Slovakia's populist prime minister shot multiple times in attempted assassination
Slovakia's populist Prime Minister Robert Fico is in life-threatening condition after being wounded in a shooting after a political event Wednesday afternoon, according to his Facebook profile.
Transport Canada's UFO 'lead' planned to meet with U.S. intel officials, called info requests a 'wild goose chase'
Canada's transportation department had a UFO 'lead' who tried to 'quell' media interest and planned to meet with U.S. intelligence officials.
'Very expensive lunch': Sask. driver handed a cell phone ticket for using points app in McDonald's drive-thru
A warning from a Saskatoon driver about using your fast-food app while in the drive-thru line — a trip to get some free lunch cost him a lot more than he bargained for.
'The Fly' has become notorious in France after a brazen escape. What's his criminal history?
A prisoner nicknamed “The Fly” has become notorious in France overnight after a daring and bloody escape from a prison convoy in Normandy that left two guards dead.
BREAKING Ontario's 'crypto king' Aiden Pleterski arrested
Aiden Pleterski, the self-proclaimed 'crypto king' from Whitby, Ont., has been arrested in Durham Region after allegedly running a Ponzi scheme worth more than $40 million.
BREAKING Barge hits a bridge in Texas, damaging the structure and causing an oil spill
A barge hit a bridge in Galveston, Texas, on Wednesday, spilling oil into surrounding waters and closing the only road to a small island, officials said.
Person responsible for 1996 drugging of 'Titanic' crew likely not a local: Halifax police
Halifax Regional Police believe a non-resident could be responsible for the infamous drugging of numerous crew members of the 'Titanic' movie with a hallucinogenic in 1996.
Latest updates on the biggest wildfires burning in Canada
Thousands of people in Western Canada remain displaced from their homes as wildfires threaten their communities, triggering evacuation orders and alerts.
OPINION Your attention span is shrinking, studies say. Here's how to stay focused: Sandee LaMotte
Regaining your focus requires you to be mindful of how you are using technology -- a daunting task if you consider the average American spends at least 10 hours a day on screens.