As Quebec gets wetter because of climate change, risks of landslides increase
Climate change is likely to increase the frequency of weather events that cause landslides in Quebec, like the one that killed two people a week ago, said a researcher who studies natural risks.
Jacques Locat, a professor emeritus at Université Laval, says climate change models predict that southern Quebec will receive between five and 14 per cent more rain by 2050.
That increase in precipitation, his research suggests, coupled with an expected rise in extreme rain events, will make the frequency of landslides in the province more likely.
"The impact of climate change on landslides in Quebec will be mainly related to precipitation," Locat, co-founder of a research laboratory at the university that studies natural risks, said in a recent interview.
On Saturday, torrential rain in Quebec's Saguenay—Lac-St-Jean region contributed to several landslides — including one that led to the death of two people.
That landslide, Locat said, appears to have been caused by erosion along the Éternité River and saturation of the embankment above the river, both of which triggered sandy material on top of the clay soil to slide downward.
Quebec risks having more "superficial landslides," Locat said, which generally involve soil conditions that are particularly susceptible to erosion and to being rapidly saturated with water.
Locat said two factors lead to superficial landslides: erosion of soil at the bottom of slopes — caused by water but also human activity — which makes them more steep, and saturation of the soil at the top of slopes, which causes material to slide downward.
"Erosion is the trigger of many landslides along watercourses and so climate change could have an effect on the frequency and significance of water level increases and, perhaps, an impact on superficial landslides," Locat said.
About 40 per cent of landslides in Quebec's St. Lawrence River valley — a region where they are particularly common in the province — are caused by erosion that is the result of human activities, he said. Landslides also occur around Gatineau, Que., near Ottawa; in the Charlevoix region, northeast of Quebec City; and the Gaspé Peninsula.
All of those regions are located on a clay plain left by a sea that disappeared around 10,000 years ago.
That clay soil can become unstable, and landslides are part of the natural evolution of that type of landscape, he said.
Last summer, more than 70 households were evacuated in La Baie, Que., part of the city of Saguenay, after a landslide destroyed an empty house, and officials feared further slides.
In 1971, a landslide in another part of that city killed 31 people and led to the abandonment of the community of St-Jean-Vianney.
Locat said that what is likely the deadliest landslide in Quebec's history occurred in 1908 in Notre-Dame-de-la-Salette, Que., about 40 kilometres northeast of Ottawa, and killed 33 people.
However, Locat, who studied the event for a 2017 paper, found that the landslide occurred across the river from the town and triggered a sort of "tsunami" that projected ice onto the community and caused the deaths.
Research published by Natural Resources Canada in May 2021 showed that between 1771 to 2019, Quebec had the second highest number of deadly landslides in the country: 239.
Only British Columbia had more, with 356. Quebec was followed by Newfoundland and Labrador, which had experienced 103, and Alberta, where there were 73.
But Locat said Quebec may have a higher number of recorded landslides than other parts of the country because of its settlement patterns.
Around 80 per cent of Quebec's population lives on the clay plain where landslides occur, he said, adding that the province was settled earlier than other parts of Canada, allowing Quebecers a more extended opportunity to record the phenomenon compared with other Canadians.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published July 7, 2023.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
Veteran TSN sportscaster Darren Dutchyshen has died
Veteran TSN broadcaster Darren 'Dutch' Dutchyshen, one of Canada’s best-known sports journalists, has died. He was 57. His family says 'he passed as he was surrounded by his closest loved ones.'
Kidnapped by her father and kept in a crawl space: Court documents reveal Montreal horror story
A Montreal father who kidnapped his daughter who has autism and lied to police when they asked where she was should serve three years in prison, a Crown prosecutor said.
Ontario's so-called 'Crypto King' soliciting investments as recently as February: police
Police are alleging that Ontario’s so-called ‘Crypto King’ Aiden Pleterski was soliciting investments as recently as February – almost two years after he was petitioned into bankruptcy for allegedly running a Ponzi scheme worth more than $40 million.
Pierre Poilievre presses Justin Trudeau for summer pause on carbon and fuel taxes
To give Canadians a break on their summer road trips, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is calling on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to suspend all gas and diesel taxes from Victoria Day to Labour Day.
Noticed a new payment? Some Canadians get first carbon rebate
Many Canadians found a message from the Canada Revenue Agency this week as they received their first direct deposit for the Canada Carbon Rebate.
Teen died from eating a spicy chip as part of social media challenge, autopsy report concludes
A medical examiner says a Massachusetts teen who participated in a spicy tortilla chip challenge died from ingesting a substance 'with a high capsaicin concentration.'
Protecting your car from the growing risk of keyless vehicle thefts
Auto technology has evolved and many newer cars use wireless key fobs and push-button starters instead of traditional metal keys. But that technology also makes things easier for thieves.
WATCH Scientists get a surprising glimpse at a rare deep-sea squid
Scientists from the University of Western Australia and Kelpsie Geociences in the U.K. say they were surprised to discover an underwater camera caught video of a rare deep-sea squid.
There's a new workers' rights treaty in Canada. What does it mean for you?
Although a global workers' treaty has been in force in Canada since January, an employment lawyer believes it won't do anything more to protect employees from violence and harassment.