A debate and week later, polls show little change in CAQ appeal
A week and leaders' debate later, and the song remains relatively unchanged in the polls heading towards the Oct. 3 Quebec election.
The poll aggregator site Quebec125.com still has the CAQ winning between 80 and 106 seats (97 likely) which is much the same as it was a week ago.
Since the campaign began, polls suggest 40 per cent of voters will vote for Francois Legault's party.
Dominique Anglade's Liberal party remains static at 17 per cent of the vote with the party winning in between 11 and 24 ridings (17 likely), as does the PQ with its 10 per cent of the vote and between one and five seats (one likely).
After shooting up to 17 per cent voter intention, Éric Duhaime's Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ) dropped to 15 per cent with between zero and five seats.
An area of concern for Duhaime has to be the Lotbinière-Frontenac riding, where the PCQ was running close to challenging CAQ incumbent Isabelle Lecours two weeks ago. At that time, PCQ candidate Christian Gauthier was polling at 37 per cent of the vote to Lecours' 40 per cent.
As of Sunday, Lecours is polling at 44 per cent to Gauthier's 31 per cent, and the seat is looking like a solid CAQ hold.
The three ridings the PCQ is most competitive in are Beauce North and South and Chaveau (Duhaime's riding).
Quebec Solidaire (QS) numbers remain similar to when the campaign began. The party is polling with a likely haul of between five and 16 seats (10 likely), and 15 per cent of the popular vote, up from 13.
Party co-spokesperson Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois was in Sherbrooke on the weekend, where the party is determined to keep that seat and perhaps turn a few neighbouring ridings orange.
Sherbrooke is neck-and-neck with the CAQ, polling at 36 per cent to the QS' 35 per cent. QS is making gains in Saint-Francois (next to Sherbrooke) with Mélissa Généreux polling at 32 per cent to CAQ incumbent Geneviève Hébert's 34.
- Listen on CJAD 800: Recent poll reveals 'wild' results on how Montreal will be voting
THE BATTLE FOR SECOND
While first-choice voting intentions are fairly clear based on polls, the discussion becomes more interesting when voters were asked who they would like as the official opposition or as a second choice.
A Leger poll for the Journal de Montreal and TVA found that 22 per cent of voters would choose the PQ second, 16 per cent would vote for QS, 15 per cent for the CAQ, 10 per cent for the PLQ and six per cent would vote for the Conservatives second.
Voters were asked who their second choice was of the Quebec political parties.
When it comes to the official opposition party, 28 per cent want to see QS questioning the CAQ, 21 per cent would prefer the PQ, 15 per cent the PCQ and 14 per cent the Liberals.
With the CAQ assumed winners on Oct. 3, voters were asked who the preferred opposition party would be.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
Poilievre kicked out of Commons after calling Prime Minister Justin Trudeau 'wacko'
Testy exchanges between the prime minister and his chief opponent ended with the Opposition leader and one of his MPs being ejected from the House of Commons on Tuesday -- and the rest of Conservative caucus walking out of the chamber in protest.
Baby, grandparents among 4 people killed in wrong-way police chase on Ontario's Hwy. 401
A police chase which started with a liquor store robbery in Bowmanville Monday night ended in tragedy some 20 minutes later when a suspect fleeing police entered Highway 401 in the wrong direction and caused a pileup which killed an infant and the child's grandparents, as well as the suspect, investigators say.
Freeland leaves capital gains tax change out of coming budget implementation bill, here's why
Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland will be tabling yet another omnibus bill to pass a sweeping range of measures promised in her April 16 federal budget, though left out of the legislation will be the government's proposed capital gains tax change.
Man dies after suffering cardiac arrest while waiting in ER, widow wants investigation
When an ambulance took David Lippert to the hospital in March of 2023, the 68-year-old Kitchener, Ont., executive was hoping to find out why he was feeling weak and unable to walk. Some 24 hours later, he was found unresponsive in the ER.
Sword-wielding man attacks passersby in London, killing a 14-year-old boy and injuring 4 others
A man wielding a sword attacked members of the public and police officers in a northeast London suburb Tuesday, killing a 14-year-old boy and injuring four other people, British authorities said.
WATCH Arnold Schwarzenegger spotted filming in Elora, Ont.
The name of the project has not been officially released although it’s widely believed to be the Netflix series FUBAR.
BREAKING Hosting Vancouver's FIFA World Cup games could cost half a billion dollars
Hosting seven games in Vancouver during the 2026 FIFA World Cup could cost more than half a billion dollars, according to an updated estimate provided Tuesday.
Moe 'will respond' to CRA, insists Saskatchewan has 'paid in full' amid carbon tax audit
Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe says his government 'will respond' to the Canada Revenue Agency when it concludes its audit of the province, but that his position is Saskatchewan doesn't owe Ottawa any money.
Conservatives push motion calling for Carney to testify, say it's about 'accountability'
The federal Conservatives made good on their promise to push for former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney to testify before MPs, resulting in a heated political debate in Ottawa on Tuesday.