Slight gains for Conservatives and Liberals, but polls still say a CAQ landslide is coming on Oct. 3
Polls continue to say Francois Legault's CAQ party will take power on Oct. 3 with a massive majority. The question remains: How big will they win by and how many parties will have seats in the National Assembly?
The Quebec projections map, though still showing a landslide for the CAQ, is showing signs of shifting sands, if only slightly.
A week ago, the poll analysis site Quebec125.com had the Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ) with a chance of winning the two Beauce seats and leader Eric Duhaime's Chauveau riding, but Christian Gauthier's campaign in Lotbinière-Frontenac has brought the Conservative's (37 per cent vote projection) within spitting distance of CAQ incumbent Isabelle Lecours (40 per cent vote projection), who won with 53.7 per cent of the vote in 2018.
The polls have the PCQ up two per cent in the popular vote to 15 from the beginning of the campaign.
The CAQ still is leading by a vast margin but is down from projected to win between 82 and 106 seats to between 78 and 105. The party is projected to capture 40 per cent of the vote (down from 42), and is still not likely to lose a single seat they currently hold.
The Liberals (PLQ) want to change that and leader Dominique Anglade said Monday that she is targeting three seats the CAQ took from the PLQ in 2018: Sainte-Rose, Soulanges and Huntingdon. Polls have the CAQ probable in Huntington (40 per cent of the vote for CAQ to 25 for PLQ), CAQ solid in Soulanges (45 to 26), and CAQ probable in Sainte-Rose (40 to 25).
As of Sunday, the Liberals are up in seat projections from 10 to 24 seats a week ago to 12 to 27, with 18 per cent of the popular vote (up one percentage point).
Quebec Solidaire remains almost identical to a week ago at between five and 13 seats (last week: five and 14) with 15 per cent of the vote (the same as a week ago).
Numbers on Oct. 4 mirror those of Sept. 24 for the Parti Quebecois with nine per cent of the popular vote and between one and six seats.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
Canada to announce plan to reach NATO target, spend 2% of GDP on defence: sources
After facing months of pressure, senior government sources tell CTV News that Canada will unveil its plan on Thursday on how to reach its NATO commitment to spend two per cent of its GDP on defence.
His brother was found dead, his mother was arrested before this baby was found crawling by a highway
A Louisiana sheriff says a 1-year-old 'miracle baby' survived two days of sometimes stormy weather before a truck driver spotted him crawling along a roadside the day after his 4-year-old brother was found dead and his mother was arrested in Mississippi.
Surging optimism as Canada continues to shock the soccer world at Copa America
A 2-nil semi-final loss to Argentina dashed Canada’s hopes of reaching the championship game at the Copa America Tournament, but getting this far and having a surprising level of success was a major breakthrough.
Frank Stronach's granddaughter seeks company docs related to misconduct allegations
The granddaughter of billionaire businessman Frank Stronach is asking an Ontario court to order the family business to disclose any documents that might exist related to complaints of sexual misconduct against him and settlements involving complainants.
Actor George Clooney, a high-profile Biden supporter and fundraiser, asks president to leave race
Movie star and lifelong Democrat George Clooney added his voice to calls for Joe Biden to leave the presidential race on Wednesday, just weeks after headlining a fundraiser that brought in a record single-night haul for the president's reelection campaign.
Coolers seized from Vancouver encampment during heat wave
Rangers seized two coolers from a person living in a tent in Vancouver's CRAB Park Tuesday as a heat wave scorched the city, the park board has confirmed.
Man suspected of killing the family of BBC radio commentator has been found, British police say
British police said they found Wednesday the man suspected of killing three women, the wife and daughters of a well-known BBC radio commentator, near London in a brutal crossbow attack.
MLB player Wander Franco charged with sexual exploitation of a minor in the Dominican Republic
Tampa Bay Rays shortstop Wander Franco is scheduled to go to trial Aug. 14 after being charged with sexually abusing a 14-year-old girl in the Dominican Republic, authorities said Wednesday.
Ellen DeGeneres is 'done' after her Netflix special
Ellen DeGeneres has reportedly said she's ready to tap out of performing. The former daytime talk show host let that be known during a recent standup show at the Luther Burbank Center for the Arts in Santa Rosa, California.