Polls show steady support for NDP at expense of Bloc Quebecois
The latest poll figures are bad news for the Bloc Quebecois.
Two polls issued this week show support for the NDP is strong or growing at the expense of the Bloc Quebecois.
The Abacus poll was conducted from Aug. 14 to 17 among 1,124 Canadians.
The regional breakdown for the 287 Quebecers polled is as follows:
- NDP: 38%
- Liberal: 16%
- Bloc Quebecois: 11%
- Green: 5%
- Undecideds: 18%
The Abacus poll is considered to be accurate within three percentages points, 19 times out of 20.
The CROP-La Presse poll surveyed 1,000 people in Quebec from Aug. 12 to 17.
The CROP results:
- NDP: 41%
- Liberal: 17%
- Bloc Quebecois: 14%
- Conservative: 11%
- Green: 4%
- Undecideds: 11%
Political analyst Jean Lapierre said the polls show support for the Bloc Quebecois has returned to the levels it was at when Mario Beaulieu was leader, and with francophone Quebecers instead supporting the NDP.
"You have to realize the transfer is coming from the Bloc Quebecois. The Bloc is falling to pieces," said Lapierre.
He said there are many other indications that Canadians are ready for a shift in government after ten years of Stephen Harper as prime minister.
"The ballot question is who can beat Stephen Harper? That's the ballot question in Quebec, at least," said Lapierre.
However it is anyone's guess as to whether or not the NDP can sustain this level of support for October's election.
"We have to remember that we're 60 days away from voting day," said Lapierre.
Bloc Leader Gilles Duceppe is trying to position his party as the one to vote for in Quebec to block Stephen Harper's Conservatives.
But the latest poll results show he has work to do in order to paint the party as a viable alternative.
Duceppe is trying to rally sovereignists who may vote for Quebec solidaire at the provincial level but voted for the NDP last time by taking more shots at Mulcair.
Meanwhile, the poll results affirm the NDP's belief that the Jack Layton-led 2011 Orange Wave of 2011 wasn't just a fluke in Quebec.
A long campaign means things could change for the NDP, so Mulcair wasn't bragging on the campaign trail Thursday.
"Those poll numbers reflect the incredible hard work of a team of MPs who have, in the past four years across the province of Quebec, worked hard to gain the support of people in their ridings, they've set down roots, they've done their fundraising, they've built their team," he said.
Support steady for Quebec Liberals
The CROP-La Presse poll also questioned citizens about provincial politics, and found support for the PQ has dropped since the beginning of the summer.
The CROP poll puts PQ support at 24 percent, with the Liberal party at 28 percent support.
The CAQ is at 19 percent, while Quebec Solidaire is at 11 percent.
16 percent said they were undecided or had no preference.