Election Notebook: Latest poll shows CAQ could win a minority government
Published Saturday, September 29, 2018 2:22PM EDT
Last Updated Sunday, September 30, 2018 4:57PM EDT
A new poll released Saturday shows the CAQ has a slight lead on the Liberals.
The poll was conducted by Léger and Journal de Montreal and shows the CAQ have 32 percent of support, compared to 30 percent for the Liberals.
The PQ follow, at 19 percent, and Quebec Solidaire, at 17 percent.
The data suggests a CAQ minority government is ‘probable' and a majority 'possible'.
The CAQ dominates among Francophones, with 37 percent support, compared to 24 percent for the PQ, 20 percent for QS and 17 percent for the Liberals.
Young people aged 18 to 34 years of age favor QS at 32 percent, compared to 27 percent for the CAQ.
The survey was conducted between September 24 and 27 with 1,502 participants.
The margin of error is 2.7 percent, 19 times out of 20.
Saturday on the campaign trail:
There are only two days left before Quebecers head to the polls, so party leaders are spending the weekend on a last-minute campaign blitz.
Liberals rally the troops in the Quebec City region
Liberal leader Philippe Couillard began the day campaigning in the Quebec City area before heading to Bas-Saint-Laurent and les Îles-de-la-Madeleine. Speaking in the Louis-Hebert riding Saturday morning, Couillard said CAQ leader Francois Legault is not a nationalist. He says Legault took too long to defend supply management and he emphasized the CAQ’s lack of cultural policy.
The CAQ kicked-off the weekend in the Townships
CAQ leader François Legault campaigned in Sherbrooke before moving on to Terrebonne. With less than two days to go until Quebecers cast their ballots, Legault continued to try positioning his party as the only option to unseat the Liberals. He also said if his party forms a government, he would want to work together with the other parties.
“Even if we are a majority or in a minority's position I think what I want is to start working more together,” Legault said. “Many Quebecers are asking that parties work more together.”
PQ losing youth vote
PQ leader Jean-François Lisée also spent time in Terrebonne, before heading to Trois-Rivières and Quebec City. Lisee faced questions about the youth vote today. His party is in last place among major parties for voters under age 35, a demographic that makes up one-third of the electorate. For decades young people flocked to the PQ but recent polls show that trend has reversed.
“It's good that the youth vote is seen as important for all the parties that make efforts to inroads in the youth vote and it's not just the baby boomers that will decide it's election,” Lisee said.
Polls show Quebec Solidaire has youth vote in its pocket
The party that is appealing to the youth vote the most, is Quebec Solidaire. According to the latest polls, around 32 percent of young respondants plan to vote for QS. The party’s co-spokespeople Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois and Manon Massé focused their campaign efforts within Montreal today, and urged young people to get out and vote on Monday.
With files from The Canadian Press